“It’s just a case of
learning how to start”
After having deliberated on many cases involving same-sex
couples’ marriage-related rights the week before and deciding nothing, on
December 7, 2012, the Supreme Court of the U.S. announced that it was granting
review in two cases, one that had held unconstitutional Proposition 8, the
initiative that amended California’s state constitution to strip same-sex
couples of the right to marry, and one that had invalidated Section 3 of the
federal so-called Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA), which requires the federal
government to treat legally married same-sex couples as if they were unmarried. [Quick disclosure: I am a member of the Board of Directors and an
elected General Counsel for the ACLU, which has represented Edie Windsor in her
challenge to DOMA Section 3, although I have not helped with that litigation.] Briefing will occur over the next few months,
and the cases will be argued orally probably in late March, with decisions
likely when the Court wraps up its term at the end of June 2013. In light of the questions the Court posed, it
looks like the term could end with either a bang or a whimper, as I’ll try to
explain.
The clearly bad news, compared to the situation if the Court
had not granted review in Hollingsworth
v. Perry, as the Prop 8 case is now known, is that same-sex couples will
continue to be unable to marry in California until the case is finally
resolved. Had the Court ‘denied cert’ (denied
the petition for a writ of certiorari), leaving the decision of the U.S. Court
of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit unreviewed, then the trial court’s order
enjoining the government defendants not to enforce Prop 8 would have finally
been allowed to go into effect. That
relief instead remains on hold (“stayed”) until after the Supreme Court rules
in the case.
The Court could in June affirm the judgment below, where
Judge Stephen Reinhardt wrote a ruling for the Ninth Circuit that Prop 8
violated same-sex couples’ right to equal protection of the laws under the U.S.
Constitution. The Supreme Court could
affirm very narrowly, precisely tracking the Ninth Circuit opinion, its ruling
then applying only to those states where same-sex couples were enjoying the
right to marry but then had that right eliminated though they retained the
possibility of every state-law legal consequence of marriage through a parallel
legal institution (in California, “domestic partnerships”). California is the only such state. If the Court reasoned slightly more broadly,
it could ignore the taking away of the right to marry that was being enjoyed
and instead emphasize that California has no functional justification for
excluding same-sex couples from civil marriage since it still offers them the
same rights through domestic partnership.
This reasoning would apply to any state that denies same-sex couples
marriage but offers comprehensive domestic partnerships or civil unions, like
Nevada or New Jersey.
Or the Court could hand the plaintiffs’ attorneys the broad
victory they’ve wanted all along and sweepingly rule that the federal
Constitution’s unenumerated right to marry is enjoyed by same-sex couples, so
that the laws of the 41 states that limit marriage to different-sex couples are
unconstitutional. That kind of broad
ruling against Prop 8 and in favor of same-sex couples seems, based on history,
less likely than a narrower opinion striking down Prop 8. But as long as five Justices agree with one
or another of the constitutional arguments against the measure, then the
plaintiffs will win and the right to marry will be restored in California.
The situation for the California marriage plaintiffs is
actually slightly better than that.
Because California’s elected Governor and Attorney General have refused
to defend Prop 8 since the outset, the federal trial court let the official
Proponents of Prop 8 (the private individuals who qualified it for the ballot)
argue in its defense. But, as I’ve
addressed before on CruzLines (here and in its links), federal constitutional law limits the
kind of parties and lawsuits that may be brought in federal court: Anyone seeking to invoke the federal courts’
authority must have “standing” to do so, a kind of legal right to have federal courts
rule in a case.
The plaintiffs have argued all along that ballot initiative
Proponents such as Prop 8’s official sponsors do not have standing to defend
enacted initiatives in federal court. In
granting review in Perry, the Supreme
Court directed the parties to address not only the “merits question” of whether
Prop 8 violates the Constitution, but also whether the Proponents have
constitutional standing in this case.
That is no assurance that the Court thinks they lack standing, but it
probably shows that enough Justices had questions that four of them decided to
order the parties to brief the issue. If
the Court holds that the Proponents lack standing, then they never should have
appealed to the Ninth Circuit, and the Court would vacate Judge Reinhardt’s
opinion and send the case back for the Ninth Circuit to dismiss the
appeal. This would leave in place Chief
Judge Walker’s trial decision and grant of an injunction, and same-sex couples
would be able to marry again in California, but there would be no binding opinion
of the Court of Appeals to govern the other western U.S. states in the Ninth
Circuit. (The Ninth Circuit would likely
rule on the marriage issue again in an appeal from federal trial courts in
Hawaii and Nevada that rejected marriage equality claims.)
So, for the Proponents to win in the Supreme Court, they
need five Justices to agree that they both have standing and are correct that
Prop 8 does not violate either same-sex couples equal protection rights or
their right to marry. Conversely, for
the plaintiffs to win back the right to marry, they just need any five Justices
to agree with any version of the argument that Prop 8 is unconstitutional
(broad or narrow) or with the
argument that the Proponents do not have standing to appeal in this litigation.
On the other hand, a ruling by the Supreme Court that
Proposition 8 is constitutional would necessarily be broad. To uphold Prop 8’s constitutionality, the
Court would have to reject each and every argument that it is
unconstitutional. So, it would have to
rule that as a general matter the federal Constitution’s unenumerated right to
marry is only a right to marry a person of a different sex. It would also have to rule that Prop 8 does
not violate the Equal Protection Clause in treating same-sex couples
differently from different-sex couples.
Because this is an especially implausible argument under any form of
heightened judicial scrutiny, this might mean that the Court also might have to
rule that only minimal “rational basis” review applies where sexual orientation
is at issue (making it harder to challenge anti-lesbigay discrimination of any
kind). And the Court would have to hold
that this is true even if a state has no functional justification for the marriage
exclusion because it gives same-sex couples the same legal rights and
responsibilities via domestic partnerships or civil unions that it gives to
heterosexually married couples. Further,
the Court would have to say this is true even where a state used to let
same-sex couples marry, and where there was significant evidence of appeals to
anti-lesbigay prejudice even in the official ballot materials used to persuade
the voters to enshrine such discrimination in the state’s fundamental law. If the Prop 8 plaintiffs lose, they will lose
big (which is one reason the LGBT advocacy groups were not in favor of this
litigation when it was first brought).
If that happens, there’d be little prospect for new constitutional
marriage equality litigation to succeed (at least until the Supreme Court changes
its collective mind, presumably after a change in personnel), and marriage
equality advocates would be forced to continue state-by-state fights to
persuade the voters to repeal restrictive marriage laws or (in a majority of
states) to re-amend their state constitutions to allow same-sex couples to
marry.
How all this will ultimately play out will not be clear
until the Supreme Court hands down its opinions (though perhaps the oral
arguments might offer some clues, however equivocal).
Turning to United
States v. Windsor, the DOMA case in which the Supreme Court granted review,
it’s interesting to note that the Court there also added a question to the one
presented by President Obama’s Solicitor General (“SG,” the nation’s top
Supreme Court attorney, number three in the Justice Department). The SG had asked the Court to decide whether
DOMA Section 3 unconstitutionally denies equal protection to same-sex couples
legally married under state law. The
Court’s order granting the government’s cert petition added the questions “Whether
the Executive Branch’s agreement with the court below that DOMA is
unconstitutional deprives [the Supreme] Court of jurisdiction to decide this
case; and whether the Bipartisan Legal Advisory Group of the United States
House of Representatives [“BLAG”] has Article III standing in this case.” Because the federal government is continuing
to enforce DOMA, even though the President and the Attorney General have
concluded that it is unconstitutional, it is still seeking to charge Edie
Windsor inheritance tax that she would not have to pay if the federal
government recognized her marriage to her late wife. Their case thus should present a sufficiently
adverse case that the Supreme Court would have jurisdiction.
If that’s right, it would not matter in Windsor’s case
whether or not the Supreme Court rules that BLAG has standing. The executive branch, here a proper party,
or so I conclude, petitioned for review of the Second Circuit’s decision in
Windsor’s favor, so that would distinguish the standing problems from those in
the Prop 8 litigation.
The BLAG is a different matter. Although the Supreme Court has previously
said that Congress is a proper party to defend federal laws at least when the
executive branch does not, that has generally been in cases where congressional
standing was not necessary to jurisdiction. Here, you have not a decision by Congress to
defend DOMA section 3, but a decision by a bare majority of a committee of just
one House of congress. So there's still a question about BLAG's standing. If I’m right that this does not matter in the
Windsor case, the Court can issue a
judgment on DOMA’s merits, and that would affect other cases’ reasoning, but a
Supreme Court ruling here that BLAG lacks standing could perhaps have
ramifications for some of the many other DOMA cases where BLAG has been
defending the law. (It’s been a long day
and I’d have to think that through further.)
If the Court reaches the merits, it could either affirm the
Second Circuit’s judgment in Windsor
that DOMA Section 3 is unconstitutional or reverse that court. Most of the courts that have held DOMA
unconstitutional have relied on “rational basis review,” the form of judicial
scrutiny most deferential to the government.
The Second Circuit Court of Appeals, in contrast, agreed with the
plaintiffs and with the Justice Department that courts should be more skeptical
when the government discriminates on the basis of sexual orientation; it held
that the same kind of heightened scrutiny used in sex discrimination cases also
applies to anti-lesbigay discrimination.
The Supreme Court could affirm on either ground. It could agree that heightened scrutiny is
the proper legal test, and that DOMA Section 3 lacks the “exceedingly
persuasive justification” necessary to survive such review. This would make clear that anti-gay
discrimination by the government is dubious regardless of the context, and so
it might seem like a broader ruling. On
the other hand, the Supreme Court could follow other courts and its own model
(in the 1996 case Romer v. Evans,
invalidating a Colorado anti-lesbigay state constitutional amendment), not
reach the question of the appropriate level of scrutiny, and just hold that
DOMA Section 3 does not even pass the easiest form of judicial review. Because every government action that
discriminates on any basis needs at least such a “rational basis,” a holding
that DOMA fails to do so could be helpful in other cases, suggesting a degree
of breadth to an otherwise narrow-seeming kind of analysis.
Of course, it’s also possible that the Supreme Court might
reverse, upholding the constitutionality of DOMA Section 3. To do that, a majority would have to decide
the proper level of scrutiny for sexual orientation discrimination and then
rule that DOMA survives that level.
(Given what he’s said about the Fourteenth Amendment and sex
discrimination based on his view of history, Justice Scalia might vote that the
proper level of scrutiny here is “none.”)
This again could be bad news for challenges of governmental
anti-lesbigay discrimination of all kinds.
So, here’s hoping that the Supreme Court builds its doctrine
in a useful direction, even if narrowly, “one brick at a time.”
[edited 20121208 to correct typo]
[edited 20121208 to correct typo]